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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.52vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.95vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.17vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12+0.84vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+3.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+0.14vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-4.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.46vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.50-5.48vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.99-7.97vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.73-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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4.99Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.14Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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13.76Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 23.3% | 41.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| James Paul | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 24.1% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.