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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.14vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+2.00vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.03vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-2.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12+0.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-1.03vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-4.33vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62+1.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.50vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.50-5.49vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-1.28vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.33Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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13.86Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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13.72Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 21.1% | 40.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 9.6% |
| James Paul | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 25.2% | 35.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.