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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+4.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+4.74vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.79+6.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.66vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+1.63vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-3.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-3.58vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.60-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.07vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-1.72vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine2.22-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.75-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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6.03Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.63University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.92Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.28Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Irvine2.220.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 21.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Keely Scates | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 42.8% |
| Allison Prange | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.