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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+2.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.21vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+1.71vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+1.92vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.43+3.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+1.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-5.38vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-5.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.95vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62+0.07vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.50-6.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.99Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.5Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.62Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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14.07Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 10.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 50.2% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.