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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.61vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+0.60vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+1.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.45vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+5.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-3.25vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.12-1.03vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-4.35vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.43-0.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.43vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.50-6.10vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.13Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.98Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.17Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 11.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 49.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 15.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% |
| James Paul | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.