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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.36vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+2.67vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+5.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.27vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-1.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-0.02vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+4.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+0.61vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-4.89vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.30vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.50-5.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.43-2.74vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.12-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.67Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.39Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.87Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.06Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.26Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 17.8% | 50.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 16.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.