← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.64+3.83vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.43+3.56vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.42+2.63vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.99+3.18vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.81+2.67vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.15vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.07-0.11vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.12+1.93vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.62+4.95vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+1.75vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.43+1.11vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.00-4.98vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.50-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.43-5.14vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.69-3.49vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.23-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.83Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
5.56Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
5.63Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.18Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.67Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.93Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
13.95Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
-
12.11Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
-
7.02Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.69Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.86Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.51Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.27University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 48.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 17.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 9.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.