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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.49vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+4.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+1.71vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23+0.32vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.48vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+5.94vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-2.06vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.50-1.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-4.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-3.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.34vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.43-1.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-4.83vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.88Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.48Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.94Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 11.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 49.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| James Paul | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.