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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.79+3.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.25+4.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.56vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72-0.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05+0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-0.34vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-4.06vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.18-1.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-4.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-3.64vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.11Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.87Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.82Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Reade Decker | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Miles Williams | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| Maks Groom | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 22.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.