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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+4.24vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+4.22vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.00+2.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+2.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+5.08vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04-2.85vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-5.05vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.58+0.46vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.72vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.77-2.99vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-5.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.90-2.62vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.81-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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7.2Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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10.69Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 22.8% |
| Christina Johns | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Kate Andersen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 37.7% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.