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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+4.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+5.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.18+6.94vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.03-0.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72-0.52vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.81vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-1.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.05-1.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37+0.23vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.25-3.93vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.25-1.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-4.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-6.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.58Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 23.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 18.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 20.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Miles Williams | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.