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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.31vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.08vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.79+1.24vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+1.77vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.79+2.94vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05+0.79vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.18+2.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.53vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.25-2.84vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.72-5.50vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-5.01vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-6.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.24Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.66Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Reade Decker | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Everett Nash | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| John Eastman | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 23.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 20.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.