Race 6B

captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Maks Groom 5.8% 7.6% 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 7.6% 6.4% 6.9% 5.4% 8.1% 7.3% 7.0% 6.3% 4.6% 3.7% 1.8%
Mitchell Callahan 13.8% 12.6% 11.6% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.8% 5.4% 5.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.4%
Reade Decker 10.4% 8.8% 9.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 9.0% 6.6% 7.9% 4.1% 2.5% 3.2% 1.4% 1.4% 0.6%
Tyler Nash 4.2% 6.0% 5.9% 5.9% 5.2% 5.6% 7.0% 4.8% 7.1% 7.6% 7.9% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 6.3% 4.0%
Carmen Cowles 9.2% 9.5% 8.3% 9.7% 9.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 5.7% 4.8% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5%
Leyton Borcherding 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 6.5% 8.5% 6.7% 7.1% 6.5% 6.7% 6.9% 6.2% 5.9% 6.6% 4.4% 3.0%
John Eastman 5.1% 5.6% 5.2% 4.6% 4.7% 6.0% 5.4% 7.0% 7.1% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 9.5% 7.7% 6.3% 4.9%
Sam Bonauto 8.2% 7.9% 8.5% 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 7.2% 5.1% 5.6% 2.8% 2.9% 1.4%
Bradley Whiteway 4.7% 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 3.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.2% 7.7% 6.4% 8.3% 8.2% 6.4% 7.5% 7.9% 6.3%
Wade Anthony 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.5% 6.8% 8.5% 10.7% 16.8% 24.6%
Everett Nash 5.0% 4.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 9.4% 11.2% 7.0%
Jack Redmond 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 8.3% 7.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.7% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 5.9% 6.9% 3.7% 3.5%
Olivia Lowthian 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 4.2% 3.0% 4.2% 3.2% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 7.0% 10.0% 9.5% 15.2% 18.7%
Ryan Satterberg 9.8% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 7.5% 8.4% 6.7% 5.4% 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.5%
Mathieu Dale 7.2% 5.6% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 7.2% 6.5% 6.7% 8.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 1.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 2.8% 5.2% 3.4% 4.4% 5.9% 5.9% 8.2% 12.4% 15.6% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.