← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+5.20vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.45+5.36vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.92vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.03+1.61vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.79+1.22vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.05+3.02vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.48vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.18+3.89vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.79+0.83vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.29-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.38-3.37vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.25-3.78vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.72-6.61vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.10-5.43vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.31-3.32vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.25-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.36Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.61Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.22Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
-
9.02Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
-
11.89Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.83Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
-
8.09Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.63Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.22Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
6.39Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
11.68Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.9Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Reade Decker | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 24.2% |
| Everett Nash | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 18.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.