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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+5.93vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+3.43vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.04vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+3.89vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-0.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10-0.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-2.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-5.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.25-1.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.25-6.00vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.18-2.92vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.75Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| John Eastman | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Mason Stang | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 21.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 24.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.