Race 11B

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
John Eastman 4.1% 6.0% 6.3% 5.0% 7.5% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 6.8% 6.4% 8.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.1% 5.8% 3.5%
Mitchell Callahan 13.6% 13.8% 11.6% 10.5% 8.0% 7.7% 8.2% 6.3% 5.7% 5.1% 3.0% 2.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Lucas Woodworth 8.4% 7.1% 7.5% 9.0% 8.4% 7.2% 7.6% 8.6% 6.5% 7.8% 6.9% 6.0% 3.1% 2.8% 2.4% 0.7%
Mathieu Dale 5.6% 8.4% 7.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 7.9% 5.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 4.7% 4.1% 1.4%
Tyler Nash 5.3% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 5.5% 7.2% 6.6% 6.1% 9.2% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.0% 5.7% 2.9%
Jack Redmond 5.9% 4.4% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.1% 5.3% 5.0% 2.1%
Maks Groom 6.7% 7.1% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 6.9% 7.4% 6.6% 7.8% 6.4% 6.5% 7.0% 6.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Ryan Satterberg 10.1% 9.8% 10.1% 8.9% 8.2% 8.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.3% 5.3% 5.7% 3.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.4% 5.6% 7.8% 9.3% 11.0% 16.1% 17.1%
Everett Nash 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.6% 4.8% 4.2% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 8.9% 10.0% 8.7% 8.8% 6.8%
Carmen Cowles 10.8% 9.4% 9.7% 8.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 7.3% 6.4% 5.8% 3.9% 3.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Sam Bonauto 7.7% 6.5% 8.7% 8.1% 8.3% 7.0% 5.8% 7.2% 6.5% 7.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1%
Mason Stang 8.8% 8.8% 8.7% 7.9% 8.8% 7.0% 9.5% 7.8% 7.1% 5.9% 5.7% 5.0% 3.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Liam Gronda 1.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.3% 3.2% 5.1% 4.4% 6.3% 9.9% 15.0% 39.9%
Luke Zylinski 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 5.3% 5.3% 6.6% 5.4% 6.7% 6.0% 9.9% 8.1% 11.6% 10.7% 5.7%
Olivia Lowthian 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 3.7% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 3.7% 5.3% 6.2% 6.8% 9.0% 12.5% 15.8% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.