← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.65vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.72+4.33vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.55+3.93vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.75+2.41vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.03+0.35vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.25+2.18vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.45+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.05+0.72vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.07-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.38-2.32vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.66+2.19vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.16vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.79-3.27vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.63-7.43vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.31-3.48vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.25-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
6.33Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.93Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.41Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.35Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.18Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
7.48Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.72Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
-
8.69University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
7.68Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
13.19Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.73Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.57Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.52Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.72Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Miles Williams | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 41.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Everett Nash | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Mason Stang | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.