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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Williams College-1.22+2.94vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.23+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.56-0.04vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-1.61+0.70vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.20-0.99vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-0.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-3.52+0.24vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-2.05-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
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2.48Northeastern University-0.230.3%1st Place
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2.96University of Rhode Island-0.560.2%1st Place
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4.7Amherst College-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-3.520.0%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University-2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rem Johannknecht | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Meadows | 33.8% | 24.8% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 23.0% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 4.3% |
| Katie Bowie | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 23.0% | 11.8% |
| Celia Del Rosso | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 14.4% | 69.1% |
| Caelan Haddock | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 25.6% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.