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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.23+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island-0.56+0.98vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.20+1.01vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.22-0.98vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61-1.35vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-2.05-1.66vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-2.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-3.52-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Northeastern University-0.230.3%1st Place
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2.98University of Rhode Island-0.560.2%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.02Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.65Amherst College-1.610.1%1st Place
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5.34Salve Regina University-2.050.1%1st Place
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5.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Meadows | 34.4% | 26.7% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 23.2% | 22.2% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Katie Bowie | 12.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 11.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 4.4% |
| Caelan Haddock | 5.5% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 23.4% | 12.3% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 11.2% |
| Celia Del Rosso | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.