← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island-0.56+1.89vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University-0.23+0.48vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-1.20+1.01vs Predicted
-
4Williams College-1.22+0.03vs Predicted
-
5Amherst College-1.61-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University-2.05-1.65vs Predicted
-
8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-2.66vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-3.52-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89University of Rhode Island-0.560.2%1st Place
-
2.48Northeastern University-0.230.3%1st Place
-
4.01McGill University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
4.03Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.66Amherst College-1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.35Salve Regina University-2.050.1%1st Place
-
5.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Wiggins | 24.7% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Meadows | 32.7% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katie Bowie | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 7.5% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 4.4% |
| Caelan Haddock | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 12.3% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 24.7% | 11.3% |
| Celia Del Rosso | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 15.1% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.