Race 4A

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nolan Wiggins 24.6% 18.7% 16.6% 13.5% 11.4% 7.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Rem Johannknecht 10.4% 10.6% 14.9% 12.1% 15.3% 13.5% 12.8% 6.9% 3.1% 0.4%
Tyler Meadows 27.5% 23.3% 18.0% 15.4% 7.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Caelan Haddock 4.3% 4.4% 7.2% 8.0% 10.3% 13.4% 17.0% 21.6% 11.8% 2.0%
Rory McClenahan 10.5% 11.6% 12.9% 12.5% 15.3% 14.1% 11.9% 7.3% 3.4% 0.5%
Adrian Whitney 8.7% 8.9% 8.2% 10.9% 13.2% 13.6% 14.9% 15.5% 5.6% 0.5%
Katie Bowie 7.9% 14.3% 13.6% 15.4% 13.6% 15.4% 10.4% 7.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Oliver Peloquin 4.6% 6.3% 6.4% 9.6% 9.8% 11.7% 16.2% 22.6% 10.9% 1.9%
Celia Del Rosso 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 3.8% 5.7% 12.5% 41.0% 28.9%
Johnny Pearson 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 3.8% 3.6% 21.8% 65.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.