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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.17+1.11vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.28+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.59-0.22vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-1.81+1.94vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.69+1.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.85-0.10vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.18-1.94vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Brown University1.170.4%1st Place
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2.06Northeastern University1.280.4%1st Place
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2.78University of Rhode Island0.590.2%1st Place
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5.94Salve Regina University-1.810.0%1st Place
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6.96Amherst College-2.690.0%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.850.0%1st Place
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5.06Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.19Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gibbs | 35.2% | 31.1% | 22.9% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Barrett | 37.3% | 32.5% | 19.9% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 18.8% | 22.2% | 32.3% | 18.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nat Altuzar | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 23.3% | 18.7% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 52.9% |
| Marcel Roche | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 26.2% | 16.7% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 20.3% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Honor | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 19.2% | 25.5% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.