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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.28+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.59+0.81vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35+2.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17-1.84vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.69+1.99vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.81-0.13vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.85-1.04vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.18-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Northeastern University1.280.4%1st Place
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2.81University of Rhode Island0.590.2%1st Place
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5.21Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
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2.16Brown University1.170.3%1st Place
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6.99Amherst College-2.690.0%1st Place
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5.87Salve Regina University-1.810.0%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.96Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Barrett | 38.4% | 30.8% | 21.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 16.9% | 24.5% | 31.3% | 18.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Honor | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 7.0% |
| Tucker Gibbs | 34.3% | 30.0% | 24.3% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 53.4% |
| Nat Altuzar | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 25.5% | 15.9% |
| Marcel Roche | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 19.2% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 22.9% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.