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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.59+1.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.17+0.17vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.28-0.95vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35+1.29vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.18+0.03vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.69+0.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.85-1.02vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.81-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Rhode Island0.590.2%1st Place
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2.17Brown University1.170.3%1st Place
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2.05Northeastern University1.280.4%1st Place
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5.29Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.03Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.92Amherst College-2.690.0%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.850.0%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Weinberg | 20.1% | 21.7% | 32.8% | 16.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Gibbs | 32.6% | 32.6% | 23.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Barrett | 38.5% | 30.6% | 21.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Honor | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 17.0% | 22.3% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 8.1% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 5.4% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 51.5% |
| Marcel Roche | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 20.1% |
| Nat Altuzar | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 24.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.