Race 4B

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tucker Gibbs 34.6% 29.8% 19.5% 10.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Barrett 37.5% 31.6% 20.3% 7.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Weinberg 17.6% 21.1% 29.8% 18.7% 9.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Honor 1.7% 3.9% 5.6% 14.6% 17.6% 15.7% 16.7% 12.3% 8.3% 3.6%
Alex Von Lehe 3.3% 5.5% 8.3% 13.5% 17.8% 18.9% 14.8% 9.5% 6.1% 2.3%
Rufus Fender-Reid 0.3% 1.7% 1.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.6% 10.7% 12.8% 16.2% 40.7%
Nat Altuzar 1.6% 1.2% 3.2% 9.0% 13.2% 13.5% 16.3% 18.0% 14.2% 9.8%
Marcel Roche 1.3% 2.2% 4.6% 8.1% 13.4% 12.5% 15.3% 16.0% 15.6% 11.0%
Owen Wyman 1.0% 1.2% 2.9% 5.2% 7.1% 13.8% 10.9% 15.1% 22.7% 20.1%
Katie Estep 1.1% 1.8% 4.3% 8.3% 10.6% 14.5% 13.9% 16.1% 16.9% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.