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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.56vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81+0.77vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.05+1.92vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.53-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.83-2.34vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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2.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.3%1st Place
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3.77Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.01SUNY Maritime College1.100.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
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5.11Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 22.3% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Murray | 30.9% | 27.2% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Samuel Stephens | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 35.3% |
| Asher Green | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 5.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
| Max Case | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.