← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+5.13vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.45+3.70vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.81+5.04vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.80+4.15vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.81+2.88vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii3.04+1.42vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.77vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.03vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College3.00-1.45vs Predicted
-
10University of Minnesota1.77+1.82vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.39-4.86vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.02-4.69vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan1.58-0.41vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.40vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine0.90-1.72vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-3.61vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.11-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.7Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.04Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.15University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.88Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.42University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
11.03University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
-
7.55Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
-
11.82University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.14Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.31University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
12.59University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
14.28University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.74Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 8.9% |
| Morgan Wilson | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Kate Andersen | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 37.8% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 21.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.