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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.10+4.13vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.57vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81+0.77vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.83-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.05-0.95vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13SUNY Maritime College1.100.1%1st Place
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2.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.3%1st Place
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3.77Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.06Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
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6.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Will Murray | 31.6% | 25.0% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 14.2% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Asher Green | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 23.4% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 16.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 9.5% |
| Samuel Stephens | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 37.4% |
| Max Case | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.