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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81+0.77vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.04vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.53-0.76vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.05-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.3%1st Place
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3.34University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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3.77Cornell University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.04SUNY Maritime College1.100.1%1st Place
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5.04Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 34.5% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 17.4% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Asher Green | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| Max Case | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 22.1% |
| Samuel Stephens | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.