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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.81+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.19vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08+1.08vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.83-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.05-0.94vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.3%1st Place
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3.9Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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5.08Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
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5.11SUNY Maritime College1.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 33.8% | 27.6% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 12.0% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 22.3% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Max Case | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| Samuel Stephens | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 38.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.