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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.35vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81+0.79vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.03vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83-0.37vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.05-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.53-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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3.79Cornell University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.03SUNY Maritime College1.100.1%1st Place
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5.01Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 34.5% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 17.8% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 15.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Asher Green | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
| Max Case | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 36.7% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.