Race 8A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Will Murray 33.9% 27.5% 16.0% 12.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooks Turcotte 5.8% 6.6% 11.6% 13.2% 15.0% 14.7% 14.6% 12.3% 6.2%
Lauren Ehnot 15.1% 15.7% 16.6% 14.9% 15.6% 12.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Cole Woodworth 21.3% 21.5% 19.9% 16.0% 10.6% 6.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Asher Green 8.1% 9.2% 11.9% 14.1% 12.4% 12.8% 14.1% 10.5% 6.9%
Gavin Sanborn 5.6% 5.8% 10.3% 9.8% 13.0% 14.1% 16.9% 14.3% 10.2%
Samuel Stephens 2.5% 3.4% 3.2% 4.7% 7.0% 9.9% 11.3% 21.3% 36.7%
Max Case 3.6% 5.1% 4.2% 8.7% 8.7% 12.3% 17.5% 18.8% 21.1%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 12.1% 13.2% 15.5% 19.4% 17.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.