Race 11A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lauren Ehnot 15.1% 15.7% 16.0% 18.9% 13.6% 9.6% 7.0% 3.2% 0.9%
Asher Green 5.0% 7.3% 10.9% 12.6% 16.0% 15.4% 13.8% 12.5% 6.5%
Brooks Turcotte 7.2% 9.2% 10.5% 11.2% 14.1% 15.6% 15.9% 10.4% 5.9%
Cole Woodworth 21.7% 20.2% 20.7% 13.8% 12.5% 6.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Gavin Sanborn 5.2% 8.3% 9.5% 12.1% 11.6% 13.1% 15.9% 13.6% 10.7%
Will Murray 34.4% 27.1% 17.5% 10.4% 6.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Samuel Stephens 3.0% 2.1% 4.1% 5.2% 6.1% 12.3% 11.1% 18.4% 37.7%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 4.8% 5.6% 5.7% 7.4% 10.3% 13.3% 16.5% 18.9% 17.5%
Max Case 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 8.4% 9.1% 11.4% 16.2% 21.3% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.