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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.35vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.48+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73+0.55vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.68-0.56vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.00-1.00vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-0.61vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-4.35-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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3.1Clemson University0.480.1%1st Place
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3.61University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.44The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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7.02Georgia Institute of Technology-2.590.0%1st Place
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7.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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8.53College of Coastal Georgia-4.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 73.8% | 18.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 8.8% | 31.5% | 25.1% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.1% | 18.7% | 23.2% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.0% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 22.8% | 21.4% | 8.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Parker | 3.6% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.4% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 27.6% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| James Keller | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 34.4% | 34.7% | 8.5% |
| Christine Moore | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 25.0% | 43.0% | 16.2% |
| Max Stevens | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.