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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.48+1.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.28-0.60vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+3.39vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.00-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.73-1.38vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.68-2.43vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59-1.01vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-4.35-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Clemson University0.480.1%1st Place
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1.4College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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3.64University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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7.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.9North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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4.62University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.57The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.99Georgia Institute of Technology-2.590.0%1st Place
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8.53College of Coastal Georgia-4.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 12.3% | 30.3% | 25.9% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Garcia | 68.6% | 24.2% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.3% | 17.3% | 24.8% | 21.8% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 24.5% | 42.5% | 15.9% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.8% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 24.8% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Henry Parker | 3.8% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 9.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| James Keller | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 34.2% | 33.3% | 9.6% |
| Max Stevens | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.