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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.00+1.94vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.56vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.48-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.73-0.28vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.00-0.81vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-1.55vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-4.35-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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3.94University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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3.56The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.09Clemson University0.480.1%1st Place
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4.72University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.19North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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7.09Georgia Institute of Technology-2.590.0%1st Place
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7.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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8.54College of Coastal Georgia-4.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 69.3% | 21.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 4.6% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.9% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 9.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 11.6% | 27.7% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.2% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 24.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 31.3% | 17.2% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| James Keller | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 35.6% | 35.5% | 8.5% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 25.5% | 43.2% | 16.5% |
| Max Stevens | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.