← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.28+0.42vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.48+1.28vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.20+0.55vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-0.73+0.75vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina0.00-1.26vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-1.00-0.83vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+0.51vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59-0.97vs Predicted
-
9College of Coastal Georgia-4.35-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.42College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
-
3.28Clemson University0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.55The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
-
4.75University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
-
3.74University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
-
5.17North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
-
7.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.03Georgia Institute of Technology-2.590.0%1st Place
-
8.56College of Coastal Georgia-4.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 70.0% | 21.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 8.1% | 25.4% | 26.3% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.0% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 25.4% | 10.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Noah Jost | 7.3% | 18.9% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 29.2% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moore | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 22.7% | 47.9% | 15.8% |
| James Keller | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 38.0% | 31.2% | 9.0% |
| Max Stevens | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.