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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+0.42vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+1.70vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.48+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.00-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.73-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+1.47vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.00-1.78vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59-0.94vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-4.35-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42College of Charleston2.280.7%1st Place
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3.7The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.17Clemson University0.480.1%1st Place
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3.72University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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4.71University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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5.22North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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7.06Georgia Institute of Technology-2.590.0%1st Place
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8.53College of Coastal Georgia-4.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 69.8% | 22.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.4% | 17.9% | 23.4% | 23.7% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 10.6% | 27.1% | 24.3% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.3% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 24.9% | 44.2% | 16.6% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 32.3% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| James Keller | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 37.3% | 32.8% | 9.2% |
| Max Stevens | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 6.3% | 15.6% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.