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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.31vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+3.12vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.83vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-2.21+0.55vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.55-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.08-1.65vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.73-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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5.12Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.05Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.9The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.35University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Coastal Georgia-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 74.6% | 20.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.9% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.3% | 28.9% | 30.8% | 19.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.5% | 32.4% | 30.3% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 28.7% | 9.8% |
| Julia Boutet | 1.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% |
| Robert Gates | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 9.7% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.