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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.29vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+1.09vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+1.94vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-2.08+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-2.21+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.08vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.55-2.41vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.73-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29College of Charleston2.360.8%1st Place
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3.09The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.94Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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2.97Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.28University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.58University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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5.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University-1.550.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Coastal Georgia-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 77.0% | 17.8% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.6% | 30.2% | 30.5% | 19.5% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.7% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Rowan Barnes | 9.8% | 30.5% | 29.4% | 17.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 24.0% | 9.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 23.7% | 26.4% | 10.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 4.5% |
| Julia Boutet | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.