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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.31vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-2.21+4.73vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.76vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-2.09vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.55-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.08-0.59vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-3.05vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.73-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31College of Charleston2.360.8%1st Place
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6.73University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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3.06Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.91The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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5.55North Carolina State University-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.41University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.95Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Coastal Georgia-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 75.1% | 19.6% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 29.7% | 11.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.1% | 28.0% | 30.8% | 20.3% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.4% | 32.3% | 29.1% | 17.4% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Boutet | 1.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 2.7% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 24.4% | 8.6% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.