Race 4B

david-van-cleef

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jonnie Ciffolillo 80.3% 16.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Mellinger 2.0% 6.2% 12.9% 18.4% 17.1% 16.1% 15.4% 9.2% 2.7%
Rowan Barnes 8.6% 38.3% 25.7% 16.6% 7.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Gates 0.8% 3.4% 6.5% 6.7% 11.5% 14.4% 18.5% 29.6% 8.6%
Nevin Williams 1.2% 5.8% 8.5% 11.9% 13.2% 15.5% 18.1% 19.3% 6.5%
Camden Hom 3.0% 13.4% 22.4% 18.1% 16.8% 14.8% 7.7% 3.4% 0.4%
Julia Boutet 1.4% 6.3% 8.1% 10.9% 16.3% 16.5% 20.3% 16.5% 3.7%
Julia Brighton 2.4% 9.4% 12.2% 15.4% 15.0% 17.3% 14.2% 11.5% 2.6%
Joey Weaver 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 3.3% 4.6% 10.3% 75.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.