Race 5B

david-van-cleef

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jonnie Ciffolillo 81.9% 14.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 6.4% 37.5% 27.6% 12.7% 10.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Lauren Mellinger 2.8% 8.6% 11.9% 17.2% 17.1% 16.6% 15.3% 9.0% 1.5%
Camden Hom 3.0% 15.6% 18.7% 21.4% 16.3% 13.1% 7.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Julia Boutet 1.6% 6.3% 11.9% 13.2% 14.0% 16.3% 16.2% 15.9% 4.6%
Julia Brighton 1.8% 8.7% 12.8% 14.9% 16.6% 20.0% 14.9% 9.1% 1.2%
Robert Gates 0.8% 3.1% 5.4% 7.6% 9.5% 13.3% 18.7% 30.8% 10.8%
Nevin Williams 1.6% 5.4% 7.2% 10.9% 13.6% 14.0% 20.9% 20.1% 6.3%
Joey Weaver 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 11.2% 74.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.