← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.36+0.23vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.26+1.03vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+1.99vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-1.55+1.57vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-1.24+0.01vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-0.75-1.73vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-2.08-0.44vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-2.06vs Predicted
-
9College of Coastal Georgia-3.73-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.23College of Charleston2.360.8%1st Place
-
3.03Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.99Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
-
5.57North Carolina State University-1.550.0%1st Place
-
5.01University of North Carolina-1.240.0%1st Place
-
4.27The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.56University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
-
5.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.4College of Coastal Georgia-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 81.6% | 14.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.2% | 37.5% | 26.4% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.7% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
| Julia Boutet | 1.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 3.1% |
| Julia Brighton | 2.5% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Camden Hom | 3.1% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.8% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 30.6% | 11.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 5.9% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.