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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.32vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+3.33vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.06vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.24+0.24vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.55-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.08-1.41vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.73-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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5.33Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.06The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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3.11Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.24University of North Carolina-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.59University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.42College of Coastal Georgia-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 73.9% | 21.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.9% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.1% | 29.1% | 28.7% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 9.4% | 27.9% | 28.3% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Brighton | 2.2% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% |
| Julia Boutet | 1.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 3.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 5.1% |
| Robert Gates | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 30.1% | 11.2% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.