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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jonnie Ciffolillo 73.9% 21.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Mellinger 1.9% 4.9% 8.8% 17.2% 19.8% 18.6% 16.9% 9.6% 2.3%
Andrew Tollefson 9.1% 29.1% 28.7% 19.0% 9.5% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 9.4% 27.9% 28.3% 18.6% 10.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Julia Brighton 2.2% 6.0% 12.3% 16.1% 16.3% 18.7% 15.2% 10.9% 2.3%
Julia Boutet 1.2% 4.0% 6.5% 12.2% 16.7% 18.1% 21.7% 16.4% 3.2%
Nevin Williams 0.9% 3.9% 6.0% 7.8% 14.4% 18.7% 21.9% 21.3% 5.1%
Robert Gates 1.2% 2.5% 4.7% 6.1% 10.4% 15.7% 18.1% 30.1% 11.2%
Joey Weaver 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 4.4% 11.0% 75.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.