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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.32vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+3.36vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+0.15vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.55+1.72vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.24-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.08-1.42vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.73-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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5.36Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.15Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.72North Carolina State University-1.550.0%1st Place
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3.02The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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5.3University of North Carolina-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.58University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Coastal Georgia-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 74.1% | 20.8% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.9% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 2.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.2% | 27.4% | 28.8% | 19.5% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Boutet | 1.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.5% | 30.4% | 27.9% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Brighton | 1.6% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 5.8% |
| Robert Gates | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 30.8% | 11.2% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 12.1% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.