Race 2A

emma-2023

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Seamus Hendrickson 23.3% 19.3% 17.2% 13.0% 10.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Shaw 9.8% 10.9% 11.1% 10.2% 11.8% 12.3% 9.3% 9.3% 6.8% 4.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Domenico Sacchetti 3.2% 3.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.7% 7.4% 10.3% 9.7% 11.8% 12.6% 11.7% 8.8% 3.4%
Joseph Mowrey 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 10.6% 10.8% 15.6% 17.4% 11.2%
Andrew Michels 18.2% 18.6% 14.0% 14.0% 10.9% 8.8% 6.9% 4.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Arden Carleton 16.1% 16.0% 15.2% 11.5% 12.9% 9.1% 6.8% 5.3% 3.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Keegan Aerts 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 4.4% 5.4% 8.0% 14.0% 56.5%
Jack Miller 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 11.6% 10.0% 10.5% 11.2% 10.3% 7.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Carly Irwin 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9% 7.2% 10.7% 14.0% 23.1% 17.7%
Jennifer Falkner 5.1% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 6.8% 8.7% 9.9% 10.4% 9.8% 10.7% 11.3% 9.1% 2.3%
Juhi Desai 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 7.9% 11.8% 9.9% 12.9% 11.5% 10.7% 4.3%
Iain McSweeney 3.9% 3.8% 5.4% 7.3% 6.8% 8.5% 8.8% 10.3% 11.4% 11.8% 10.8% 8.7% 2.5%
Jenna Kozal 4.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.5% 8.5% 9.0% 10.6% 11.0% 11.7% 9.9% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.