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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.80+1.28vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College0.41+1.17vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.85+2.24vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.13+2.02vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48+1.84vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.03-2.90vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.71+2.43vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.63-3.29vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.53-2.02vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.96-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Wisconsin0.800.2%1st Place
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4.17Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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5.82Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Toledo-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.02Indiana University-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.84Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.1Ohio State University-0.030.1%1st Place
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11.43Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.71Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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8.98Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.79Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 23.4% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Miller | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Iain McSweeney | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Juhi Desai | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 8.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 55.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Jack Bergman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 16.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.