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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.80+2.26vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+2.00vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.85+3.13vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.03-0.06vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.54-2.34vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.96-0.65vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.25-3.40vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.71+1.09vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.82vs Predicted
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12Hope College-3.05-0.34vs Predicted
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13Indiana University-1.13-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Wisconsin0.800.2%1st Place
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4.0Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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6.61Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Toledo-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.94Ohio State University-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.66Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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8.53Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.6Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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11.09Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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9.18Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.66Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.0Indiana University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seamus Hendrickson | 24.1% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Iain McSweeney | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Mason Shaw | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 19.4% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 3.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Jack Miller | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 29.7% | 33.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 6.4% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 21.6% | 51.5% |
| Juhi Desai | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.