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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.85+6.13vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.80+0.27vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63+2.57vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.54-1.24vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.03-1.02vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.25-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.96-0.68vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.13-1.17vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.48-1.39vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.89vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-2.71-0.80vs Predicted
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13Hope College-3.05-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13University of Toledo-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.02Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Wisconsin0.800.2%1st Place
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6.57Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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3.76Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.98Ohio State University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.52Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.83Indiana University-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.61Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.11Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.2Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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11.69Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain McSweeney | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Arden Carleton | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 22.9% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Michels | 20.0% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Miller | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Juhi Desai | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 5.8% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 30.1% | 35.1% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 24.0% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.